GDP (US$ Billion)
60.04 (2010)
World Ranking N/A
GDP Per Capita (US$)
2,807 (2010)
World Ranking N/A
Economic Structure
(in terms of GDP composition, Nil)
External Trade (% of GDP)
76.5 (2007)
Currency (Period Average)
Syrian Pound
492.61per US$ (2017)
Political System
Unitary multiparty republic
Sources: CIA World Factbook, Encyclopædia Britannica, IMF, Pew Research Center, United Nations, World Bank
Overview
The conflict in Syria continues to take a heavy toll on the economy and growth has slumped to levels last seen in the early 1990s, pushing millions of people into unemployment and poverty. In addition, a severe decline in oil receipts and disruptions of trade has placed even more pressure on Syria's external balances, resulting in the rapid depletion of its international reserves. In July 2017, the World Bank produced a report on the economic impact of the conflict in Syria. The cumulative GDP loss from 2011 to 2016 was estimated at USD226 billion, with the war having disrupted economic activity by damaging industrial and agricultural production, reducing capital and disconnecting networks and supply chains. The longer the conflict lasts, the more difficult recovery will be because the effects of economic deterioration become more persistent over time.
Sources: UNHCR, World Bank, Fitch Solutions
Major Economic/Political Events and Upcoming Elections
July 2017
Hezbollah and the Syrian army launched a military operation to dislodge jihadist groups from the Arsal area, near the Lebanese-Syrian border.
October 2017
The Islamic State (IS) group was driven out from Raqqa.
November 2017
The Syrian army took full control of Deir al-Zour from IS. Syrian and Iraqi forces put IS under pressure in the dwindling areas still under its control.
December 2017
Russian President Putin visited and declared the mission accomplished for his forces in the battle against IS.
January 2018
Turkey launched an assault on northern Syria to oust Kurdish rebels controlling the area around Afrin. It seized the town in March.
February 2018
The Syrian government launched attacks on Eastern Ghouta, the final rebel-held enclave near Damascus.
October 2018
Jordan reopened the Naseeb-Jaber border crossing with Syria, which had previously served as an important commercial link for businesses involved in regional trade. Jordan had shut it down after it was seized by Syrian rebels in 2015, causing commercial activity to plummet in the adjoining free trade zone.
November 2018
The Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA) claimed that the General Establishment for Free Zones had achieved revenue of SYP3.3 billion for the year ending October 2018.
November 2018
Syrian government claimed of a suspected gas attack in Aleppo were followed by warplanes attacking rebel-held areas of the north for the first time since the creation of a buffer zone by Russia and Turkey in Idlib Province.
December 2018 - January 2019
United States President, Donald Trump announced plans to withdraw United States troops from Syria.
February 2019
The Syrian Arab News Agency reported that exports through the Naseeb-Jaber border crossing reached more than SYP13 billion from mid-October 2018 to mid-January 2019.
February 2019
The caliphate in Syria nears its end in the only remaining live front in the war as Baghouz, near the Iraq border, was besieged. Idlib would be the last pocket of Syria held by Islamists.
March 2019
The Syrian Arab News Agency reported a rise in the number of registered workers, possibly heralding a recovery in the labour market.
August 2019
A conditional ceasefire was put in place in the north-west region of Syria, which included the rebel-held Idlib province.
August 2019
A United States delegation arrived in Turkey to set up a joint operations centre that would oversee the establishment of a safe zone in Syria. The move followed a recent agreement between United States and Turkish officials to address security concerns along Turkey's southern border.
October 2019
Iran-based MAPNA Group started construction of a 540MW combined-cycle power plant at Latakia in Syria. The project was jointly funded by the governments of Syria and Iran. The phase one of the project, which includesd a gas-fired unit, was expected to become operational in 18 months. The facility's other gas unit and a steam unit were scheduled to be completed in 24 and 34 months, respectively.
February 2020
The Syrian Ministry of Electricity Transmission Establishment had opened tenders for two solar photovoltaic projects in the country. The country was seeking developers for the construction of a 40MW solar facility at the Jandar combined cycle power plant in Homs Governorate, and a 23MW plant near Damascus. Bids for both the projects were by April 20, 2020.
Sources: BBC Country profile – Timeline, Middle East Institute, SANA, BBC, The Syrian Observer, Fitch Solutions
Merchandise Trade
Trade in Services
- The Syrian Arab Republic's Working Party for World Trade Organization (WTO) accession was established in May 2010. The Working Party has not yet met. Syria was open to international trade before the civil war began in 2011, and the government is still aiming to harmonise its import tariffs and custom duties to adapt them to WTO standards.
- Syria experienced a few years of positive trade development, after which trading came to a standstill due to the start of the civil war and the consequent economic sanctions imposed by the country's trade partners.
- Syria's average tariff rate is 14.2%, the second highest in the Middle East and North African region (out of 18 countries). Syria imposes a progressive tax rates system for partners that it does not have a trade agreement with. Customs duties range between 1% and 200%, where raw materials are taxed at 5-10%, equipment for industry 10-20%, foodstuffs 1-15%, and machines 30-60%. A surtax of between 6% and 35% is levied on products meant to be sold to military barracks, schools and local councils. Tourism vehicles weighing under one ton are taxed 150%.
- In May 2009, Syria banned all imports of 'any meat or products or materials containing derivatives of pigs'. Furthermore, travellers flying to Syria are banned from bringing in pets (unless accompanied with health certificates), animal products or prepared foodstuffs that contain animal products regardless of their origin. The measures apply to all of Syria's trading partners. Although this measure is likely to have been taken on the grounds of protecting the citizenry's health, it still discriminates against foreign producers of the affected products.
- Customs duties are currently being lowered and reviewed in the context of an agreement of association between Syria and the EU and Syria's eventual membership to the WTO. Customs formalities have therefore been simplified and the list of prohibited imports has been lowered.
- Syria has 34 signed bilateral investment treaties that are in force and six more signed but not yet in force.
Sources: WTO – Trade Policy Review, Fitch Solutions, UNCTAD
Multinational Trade Agreements
Active
- Syria is a member of the Pan-Arab Free Trade Area (PAFTA): PAFTA's signatories consist of Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates and Yemen. PAFTA was established in order to create an Arab economic bloc that could effectively compete with other countries while ensuring that each country increased trade with one another. PAFTA entered into force on January 1, 1998. The most important aspect of the agreement was that over the next 10 years (to 2008), each member country would seek to reduce customs fees by 10% per annum as well as gradually eliminate trade barriers. In March 2001, the member countries decided to reduce the period over which the reductions in tariffs could be made so as to speed up the process, and in January 2005 the elimination of most tariffs among the PAFTA members was enforced. The agreement covers trade in goods.
- Syria-EU Co-operation Agreement: This bilateral agreement between the EU and Syria entered into force on July 1, 1977, and it covers trade in goods. However, because it dealt with trade in crude oil and petroleum products, gold, precious metals and diamonds the agreement is suspended. An association agreement between Syria and the EU has been negotiated, but put on hold because of the internal situation in Syria, where internal repression has led to restrictive measures by the EU that have had a significant impact on bilateral trade. Compared to 2011, imports from Syria have dropped by 97% and exports by 85%, and where once they consisted of fuel and mining products they now consist mainly of agricultural products.
- Turkey-Syria Free Trade Agreement (FTA): This bilateral FTA between Turkey and Syria entered into force on January 1, 2007, and it covers trade in goods.
Sources: WTO Regional Trade Agreements database, European Commission, Fitch Solutions
Foreign Direct Investment
Foreign Direct Investment Policy
- Before the start of the conflict in 2011, Syria was gradually opening up its economy and moving towards a free market system.
- Before the start of the conflict, Syria introduced structural reforms, which included the renovation of the Commercial Code (2007), the Maritime Code (2008), the Finance Act (2004) and the Banking Act of 2004, which would allow the country to be able to move toward a free market economy. Furthermore, the Investment Law also gave incentives to foreign investors, including ownership of companies, import of machinery, transport and raw material free from customs duties.
- No reliable international data has been published regarding foreign investment in Syria since 2012, largely due to the country's ongoing conflict. This makes it difficult for investors to gauge the opportunities that might be present in the market.
Sources: WTO – Trade Policy Review, Investment Policy Hub, Syrian Investment Agency, Fitch Solutions
Free Trade Zones and Investment Incentives
Free Trade Zone/Incentive Programme |
Main Incentives Available |
Syria has eight free zones (Adraa, Airport, Aleppo, Damascus, Hasyaa, Lattakia Port, Tartous and Yaarobya), which allow for different production activities and services. |
Although various incentives exist, such as lower customs duties and administration, as well as tax breaks, investors will face challenges arising from the conflict. |
Sources: US Department of Commerce, Syrian Investment Agency, Fitch Solutions
- Consumption Tax: 1.5-40%
- Corporate Income Tax: 10-28% (progressive)
Sources: World Bank, National Sources
Business Taxes
Type of Tax |
Tax Rate and Base |
Corporate Income Tax |
- Specific rates: 22% on joint stock and limited liabilty companies; 14% for joint stock enterprises which issue more than 50% of their shares to the public; 15% for insurance companies which issue at least 51% of their shares to the public; 25% to banks and insurance companies |
Dividends |
- 7.5% on dividends issued by a non-resident entity |
Capital Gains Tax |
- Capital gains are treated as taxable income and taxed at the standard corporate tax rate |
Consumption Tax |
- Syria has no value added tax, instead certain services and imported luxury goods attract a consumption tax, in a range of 1.5-40% |
Surtax |
- A local administration tax of 4-10%, depending on the region |
Stamp Duty |
- Ranges between 0.3% and 0.7%; imposed on transactions such as the formation of corporations and the execution of documents |
Property Tax |
- Ranges from 14% to 60%, depending on the type of property |
Sources: World Bank, Fitch Solutions
Date last reviewed: March 14, 2020
Foreign Worker Permits
Anyone wanting to work in Syria needs to obtain permission from the Ministry of Social Affairs and Labor.
Localisation Requirements
The security situation means that employers will be obligated to pay exorbitant insurance premiums for foreign staff, and may also be required to offer substantial hardship and danger pay premiums.
Visa/Travel Restrictions
Citizens of all countries require a visa to travel to Syria. Before 2014, citizens of many Arab countries did not require a visa, and citizens of many former Soviet states were allowed to obtain visas on arrival.
There are two types of entry visas: a six-month visa valid for one trip or multiple trips, which can be awarded for one year; and a three-month visa valid for one time only.
Sources: Government websites, Syrian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Fitch Solutions
Sovereign Credit Ratings
Rating (Outlook) |
Rating Date |
|
Moody's |
N/A |
N/A |
Standard & Poor's |
N/A |
N/A |
Fitch Ratings |
N/A |
N/A |
Sources: Moody's, Standard & Poor's, Fitch Ratings
Competitiveness and Efficiency Indicators
World Ranking |
|||
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
|
Ease of Doing Business Index |
174/190 |
179/190 |
176/190 |
Ease of Paying Taxes Index |
81/190 |
85/190 |
91/190 |
Logistics Performance Index |
138/160 |
N/A |
N/A |
Corruption Perception Index |
178/180 |
178/180 |
N/A |
IMD World Competitiveness |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
Sources: World Bank, IMD, Transparency International
Fitch Solutions Risk Indices
World Ranking |
|||
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
|
Economic Risk Index Rank |
199/202 |
194/201 |
192/201 |
Short-Term Economic Risk Score |
27.1 |
41.5 |
42.5 |
Long-Term Economic Risk Score |
29.1 |
31.6 |
34.0 |
Political Risk Index Rank |
198/202 |
197/201 |
197/201 |
Short-Term Political Risk Score |
27.9 |
27.9 |
27.9 |
Long-Term Political Risk Score |
21.7 |
24.2 |
24.2 |
Operational Risk Index Rank |
187/201 |
184/201 |
187/201 |
Operational Risk Score |
28.2 |
27.9 |
27.3 |
Source: Fitch Solutions
Date last reviewed: March 14, 2020
Fitch Solutions Risk Summary
ECONOMIC RISK
Given the prolonged period of unrest in Syria, along with the displacement of millions of Syrians, we expect continued economic decline over the coming quarters. The Syrian economy has contracted to the size it was in the early 1990s. While regions held by the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad will remain better off than those not under government control, business activity and state investment will remain stagnant, and living standards will continue to decline as the Syrian currency loses value.
OPERATIONAL RISK
Damascus undertook some key reforms to improve the country's business environment before the beginning of the civil war, such as allowing greater private investment in specific sectors through public-private partnerships. However, as long as the civil war continues, foreign investment will remain virtually non-existent, with only a few Iranian and Russian companies investing in government-controlled territory. Russia's entry into the Syrian civil war in September 2015 has reshaped the conflict, allowing the Syrian regime of President Bashar al-Assad to make sweeping territorial gains and reduce the conflict zone to the largely rural province of Idlib in the northwest, adjoining Turkey.
Source: Fitch Solutions
Date last reviewed: March 15, 2020
Fitch Solutions Political and Economic Risk Indices
Fitch Solutions Operational Risk Index
Operational Risk |
Labour Market Risk |
Trade and Investment Risk |
Logistics Risk |
Crime and Security Risk |
|
Syria Score |
27.3 |
42.8 |
23.7 |
27.6 |
15.0 |
MENA Average |
47.4 |
53.1 |
48.0 |
47.7 |
40.9 |
MENA Position (out of 18) |
15 |
16 |
17 |
14 |
17 |
Global Average |
49.7 |
50.2 |
49.8 |
49.3 |
49.2 |
Global Position (out of 201) |
187 |
146 |
190 |
177 |
193 |
100 = Lowest risk, 0 = Highest risk
Source: Fitch Solutions Operational Risk Index
Country/Region |
Operational Risk Index |
Labour Market Risk Index |
Trade and Investment Risk Index |
Logistics Risk Index |
Crime and Security Risk Index |
UAE |
72.0 |
71.2 |
79.1 |
68.7 |
70.5 |
Qatar |
65.9 |
65.0 |
61.8 |
71.6 |
61.2 |
Bahrain |
65.0 |
62.2 |
61.9 |
64.5 |
69.2 |
Oman |
64.5 |
63.1 |
69.5 |
71.5 |
53.6 |
Saudi Arabia |
62.6 |
67.2 |
62.1 |
62.7 |
57.7 |
Jordan |
56.5 |
56.9 |
60.7 |
59.0 |
52.3 |
Kuwait |
54.3 |
43.2 |
63.8 |
54.8 |
53.2 |
Morocco |
54.2 |
54.2 |
51.2 |
52.5 |
56.2 |
Egypt |
48.7 |
49.9 |
45.7 |
56.4 |
42.9 |
Tunisia |
46.5 |
42.2 |
56.2 |
47.3 |
42.3 |
Lebanon |
44.1 |
53.0 |
51.9 |
41.4 |
29.7 |
Iran |
43.2 |
49.5 |
36.7 |
50.8 |
34.4 |
Algeria |
39.2 |
46.1 |
31.1 |
42.9 |
36.2 |
West Bank and Gaza |
32.5 |
48.8 |
37.4 |
32.0 |
17.0 |
Syria |
27.3 |
47.2 |
22.1 |
29.3 |
17.1 |
Libya |
27.3 |
45.5 |
23.7 |
27.0 |
15.0 |
Iraq |
26.9 |
43.7 |
24.8 |
28.6 |
12.4 |
Yemen |
23.2 |
32.7 |
24.9 |
15.8 |
16.1 |
Regional Averages |
47.4 |
52.3 |
48.0 |
48.7 |
40.9 |
Emerging Markets Averages |
46.2 |
48.2 |
46.5 |
45.0 |
44.9 |
Global Markets Averages |
49.7 |
50.2 |
49.8 |
49.3 |
49.2 |
100 = Lowest risk, 0 = Highest risk
Source: Fitch Solutions Operational Risk Index
Date last reviewed: March 14, 2020
Hong Kong’s Trade with Syria
Export Commodity |
Commodity Detail |
Value (US$ thousand) |
Commodity 1 |
Electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances, and electrical parts thereof |
595.4 |
Commodity 2 |
Professional, scientific and controlling instruments and apparatus |
138.5 |
Commodity 3 |
Manufactures of metals |
55.0 |
Commodity 4 |
Office machines and automatic data processing machines |
49.3 |
Commodity 5 |
Machinery specialized for particular industries |
22.5 |
Import Commodity |
Commodity Detail |
Value (US$ thousand) |
Commodity 1 |
Live animals other than animals of division 03 |
12.0 |
Commodity 2 |
Telecommunications and sound recording and reproducing apparatus and equipment |
4.2 |
Commodity 3 |
Electrical machinery, apparatus and appliances, n.e.s., and electrical parts thereof |
2.4 |
Commodity 4 |
Special transactions and commodities not classified according to kind |
2.3 |
Commodity 5 |
Miscellaneous manufactured articles, n.e.s. |
0.1 |
Exchange Rate HK$/US$, average
7.75 (2014)
7.75 (2015)
7.76 (2016)
7.79 (2017)
7.83 (2018)
7.77 (2019)
2019 |
Growth rate (%) |
|
Number of Syrian residents visiting Hong Kong |
237 |
-12.5 |
Number of Middle East residents visiting Hong Kong |
113,849 |
-12.8 |
Source: Hong Kong Tourism Board
Date last reviewed: March 14, 2020
Commercial Presence in Hong Kong
2019 |
Growth rate (%) |
|
Number of Syrian companies in Hong Kong |
N/A |
N/A |
- Regional headquarters |
||
- Regional offices |
||
- Local offices |
Treaties and Agreements between Hong Kong and Syria
Syria has a bilateral investment treaty with Mainland China that came into force on November 1, 2001.
Source: UNCTAD
Visa Requirements for Hong Kong Residents
A visa is required for HKSAR passport holders.
Note: Hong Kong's Outbound Travel Alert (OTA) system currently categorises Syria as black, indicating a severe threat and to avoid all travel.
Source: Hong Kong Immigration Department
Date last reviewed: March 14, 2020